All of Tuesday's computer models project 93L to remain east of the Gulf of Mexico. A cold front will steer the disturbance northeastward
The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence.
U.S. officials estimate an 80% chance of a tropical storm forming in the next 48 hours.
In an afternoon update, forecasters said the area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is beginning to organize, and that a tropical cyclone is "likely to form later today or Saturday". The next name on the list for tropical storms in the Atlantic is Philippe. Regardless if the system develops, there will be heavy rain and breezy winds on Saturday that quickly spread up into east-central Florida by Saturday night. "Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected, with isolated higher amounts possible".
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Previous story: A persistent area of showers and thunderstorms between Jamaica and northeast Honduras became better organized overnight, leading the National Hurricane Center to increase its chances for tropical development to 60 percent. It's just rain for us with a breeze or two. A tropical system off the coast of northeastern Nicaragua became more concentrated and showed greater likelihood of development as it moved north. "Increasing upper-level winds will make conditions less favorable when the system moves north of Cuba and merges with a cold front on Sunday", the Friday outlook continued.
Much of this rain may fall during a few hours, which will bring the potential for street and low-lying area flooding. A hurricane hunter plane has found 56 miles per hour winds and continues to investigate the system early Friday evening.
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IS Southeast Asia chief killed in Philippines
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Iraqi forces enter Kirkuk as Kurds flee
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